Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.782178 2.139951 2.542402 3.027352 3.594500 4.235373 5.012942
2026-01-04 1.293471 1.752272 2.325038 3.087219 4.068732 5.283396 6.892730
2026-01-11 1.021079 1.528411 2.218063 3.211852 4.592486 6.425559 9.022558
2026-01-18 0.803865 1.313872 2.060606 3.212817 4.919595 7.322499 10.919873
2026-01-25 0.623156 1.104758 1.859509 3.098298 5.041286 7.921580 12.445856
2026-02-01 0.490113 0.937352 1.683723 2.979854 5.120385 8.443030 13.888565
2026-02-08 0.408253 0.836462 1.592691 2.973595 5.360125 9.216435 15.773140
2026-02-15 0.345585 0.755618 1.519155 2.979855 5.611773 10.022877 17.775964
2026-02-22 0.289836 0.675334 1.431078 2.943061 5.777780 10.695714 19.613159
2026-03-01 0.232638 0.578910 1.294548 2.792934 5.716840 10.967618 20.787708
2026-03-08 0.196957 0.520654 1.222619 2.754051 5.851482 11.587196 22.611498
2026-03-15 0.169221 0.474131 1.166473 2.736894 6.022011 12.282072 24.623505
2026-03-22 0.157861 0.465568 1.192948 2.899592 6.574878 13.752496 28.212450
2026-03-29 0.141878 0.441702 1.180998 2.977761 6.965103 14.951221 31.400367
2026-04-05 0.130707 0.428066 1.190610 3.105074 7.472225 16.422675 35.232507
2026-04-12 0.114370 0.395894 1.149251 3.108093 7.710259 17.376531 38.128707
2026-04-19 0.095314 0.350554 1.065925 2.997591 7.681506 17.779611 39.954351
2026-04-26 0.079218 0.309704 0.986267 2.882829 7.626790 18.118838 41.671249
2026-05-03 0.069488 0.286846 0.951485 2.876814 7.824910 19.013241 44.610018
2026-05-10 0.061447 0.267491 0.923002 2.882907 8.052139 19.989435 47.796140
2026-05-17 0.053294 0.245251 0.881585 2.847204 8.171047 20.732432 50.533208
2026-05-24 0.043615 0.213915 0.805514 2.701520 7.992230 20.778598 51.736725
2026-05-31 0.037799 0.196072 0.768800 2.663791 8.089020 21.472469 54.443096